(quote) Rebecca-654746 said: So if a functioning Western style democracy is not going to be established than we may be looking at another dictatorship... And we were hated in Latin America because we funded those dictatorships, and we often overthrew governments.
Assad is not a dictatorship we fund, and polls say most of the Middle East doesn't think us getting involved militarily is a good idea.
The people of the Middle East are mad because of our support of Israel, because of our support for governments like Saudi Arabia, Jordan etc. Is this going to stop?
And here's the thing many in Syria feel Assad is the lesser of evils. Its not like the people of Syria have been given a vote. Many are quite worried even if not a Al Queda group a more sectarian Sunni Islamicist government. And to say this isn't likely.
Right now minorities have rights as full citizens under Syria. Many are afraid that this will change if the rebels win. The Alawites are afraid they will be slaughtered. And democracy hasn't brought fun for Christians in the Middle East. So what you have is a group the Alawites, who will fight to the death because their very survival depends on it. Then you have many Shia and more secular Sunnis who are also very concerned.
So us getting involved in this mess, and supporting one side, When the result may not be a better Syria is an issue. I don't think Assad should be funded, I don't support funding dictators. But I don't necessarily think the rebels should be funded either. And you think if we go in there and people start dying, or take sides, we won't end up having the other side hating us?
People have already started dying. They've been dying at a faster rate than when we went into Iraq. Unfortunately, the only time that seems to "count" in the minds of many is when there is a direct connection to the U.S. It never fails to amaze me how many people have no moral qualms about massive death tolls or other human rights violations...as long as they can tell themselves that their country isn't directly involved. But I digress.
Merely over throwing governments is not what got us hated in Latin America or anywhere else. It was the support for oppressive ones.
The odds of Assad being the lesser of two evils (from our point of view) is very small. He is already fully involved in supporting terrorist groups. From his strategic point of view, he wants the terrorist violence in Israel to be perpetual. The Israelis-Palestinian conflict is a wonderful way for him (and other regimes in the region) to blame somebody else for their problems. It is unlikely that whoever replaces him will be markedly worse in this matter.
The only real potential downside is the potential rise of a fundamentalist regime which oppresses other religious views. There are only two semi-realistic ways to avoid that.
One, do nothing and see if somehow Assad survives. Given the legs this rebellion has shown, that seems unlikely.
Two, pick a more moderate rebel faction, and make sure they win.
Refusing to back any of the rebel groups because some of them are bad only maximizes the power of the bad ones.